Covid-19 Update for Sunday, November 8
Confirmed: 12,225 (+44) | Recovered: 11,205 (+48) | In treatment: 625 (~) | Died: 395 (-4)
Good Evening! Welcome to The Bali Beat’s daily Covid-19 summary, where I gather virus statistics from the National, Provincial & Regency governments into a single digestible update. I happily compile this data as a public service, and it will be free for as long as the pandemic lasts, or so long as the government provides the numbers. If you find this data useful, please share it!
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*Notes:
All numbers are confirmed as of 12:00pm Jakarta Time.
Be sure to check the disclaimer and sources listing at the bottom!
National Numbers
Bali Numbers
*Note: The provincial government did not release its infographic by press time. It will be included in tomorrow morning’s news summary.
Regency Breakdown
*NOTE: Today’s 2 new cases notwithstanding, over the last few days, the provincial government has noted amendments to several Regencies’ counts of infections in the “Imported” category. It has not been clear if these were reductions, or if cases that had once been deemed as Imported Transmissions were being reclassified as Local, or of they were being removed from the count altogether. False positive diagnoses are not unheard of and happen on occasion, though they have never happened at this scale in such a short period of time. Today’s removal of 4 fatalities from the count that has been attributed to the virus has not happened before. If I see an announcement about these changes made by the government, it will be carried in tomorrow morning’s newsletter.
Confirmed Cases Distribution
Key: Red = Infected | Green = Recovered | Black = Died
Trends
30-day Snapshot
The Week That Was: Nov. 1 – Nov. 7
Overall Numbers by Regency
Weekly Progress
For detailed breakdowns of the numbers for each individual regency, click here.
More info on the locations of positive cases within each Regency, as well as the number of suspected cases ("ODP") and people under in-patient observation ("PDP"), can be found in charts & infographics on the websites of each Regency's Covid-19 Task Force:
Badung | Bangli | Buleleng | Denpasar City | Gianyar | Jembrana | Karangasem | Klungkung | Tabanan
Disclaimer & Context
The data used to create the visualizations comes directly from the Bali provincial government, as listed below. Each province compiles the previous day’s numbers every morning and submits them to the national government by 12:00pm. As a result, you may sometimes see a discrepancy between the central government’s totals and what appears in the media, or in regency-level data. Basically, you can consider the national numbers to be “confirmed” data from yesterday, while media could be reporting on current-day figures being disclosed by government officials at regularly scheduled daily press conferences.
Also, keep in mind that the numbers reflect confirmed cases & deaths. Tests performed on people who have died may take days to return, and even after that there may be delays in reporting it in deference to the family and in order to allow funeral ceremonies to be carried out without alarming neighbors. There may also be similar delays in reporting positive test results in a timely fashion. Bottom line: All numbers are a reflection of what local governments have confirmed yesterday, not necessarily what transpired yesterday.
Some of the most important data, such as testing numbers, positivity rates, hospitalization levels, and ICU admissions, is not routinely disclosed. This makes it difficult to understand the full impact that the virus is having on the population and the island’s healthcare resources. The available data allows us to understand trends and the generalized state of the disease’s spread on Bali, but not much more.
You can read more about what kinds of Covid-19 data is most important to look for and how to understand the data that is available by reading this piece from the US public media organization, ProPublica. It’s US-centric, but the explanations are applicable anywhere.
Sources
The national update comes from the Indonesia National Disaster Management Agency: @BNPB_Indonesia
The Bali Numbers come from the Bali Provincial Government COVID-19 Task Force (link).
The Total Confirmed Cases Distribution map & Regency Numbers figures come from the Bali Provincial Government's data collection department (link).